Our AI model predicts Villarreal to win, giving Villarreal a
41.4% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1,
with a 52.0% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Alaves 33.2%Draw 25.4%Villarreal 41.4%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.29 – 1.47
Over 2.5 goals
52.0%
Under 2.5 goals
48.0%
Team rating (Elo)
1412 vs 1556
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Alaves vs Villarreal?
Our AI model favours Villarreal to win — Alaves 33.2%, draw 25.4%, Villarreal 41.4%. Villarreal is the model's pick at 41.4%.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Villarreal?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Alaves 1, Villarreal 1).
Will Alaves vs Villarreal have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 52.0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 48.0% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.