Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction & Model Analysis
La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated August 2026
Our AI model predicts Villarreal to win, giving Villarreal a
40.5% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1,
with a 52.0% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Model breakdown
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Predicted score | 1–1 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.31 – 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48.0% |
| Team rating (Elo) | 1422 vs 1552 |
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Alaves vs Villarreal?
- Our AI model favours Villarreal to win — Alaves 34.0%, draw 25.4%, Villarreal 40.5%. Villarreal is the model's pick at 40.5%.
- What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Villarreal?
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Alaves 1, Villarreal 1).
- Will Alaves vs Villarreal have over 2.5 goals?
- The model estimates a 52.0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 48.0% under.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.