Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction & Model Analysis
La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
Our AI model predicts Villarreal to win, giving Villarreal a
40.0% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 58.5% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Model breakdown
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Predicted score | 1–2 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.44 – 1.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41.5% |
| Team rating (Elo) | 1476 vs 1600 |
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Alaves vs Villarreal?
- Our AI model favours Villarreal to win — Alaves 33.1%, draw 26.9%, Villarreal 40.0%. Villarreal is the model's pick at 40.0%.
- What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Villarreal?
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Alaves 1, Villarreal 2).
- Will Alaves vs Villarreal have over 2.5 goals?
- The model estimates a 58.5% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41.5% under.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.