FOOTBALL, WITH A SECOND LOOK
The fixtures that matter. The numbers behind them.
Independent analysis, before the whistle.
Manchester City
Paris Saint-Germain
UCL · MATCH PREVIEW
Both opened with a win. The saved forecast separates them by only a small margin.
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Atlético Madrid
Manchester United
UCL · MATCH PREVIEW
Atlético lead the saved forecast, while United’s opening win provides context rather than a guarantee.
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Everton
Chelsea
Premier League · MATCH PREVIEW
A look at verified goals and pre-shot xG before the next fixture. Conversion gaps do not guarantee a rebound.
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Brentford
Liverpool
Premier League · MATCH PREVIEW
A look at verified goals and pre-shot xG before the next fixture. Conversion gaps do not guarantee a rebound.
Read the analysisChelsea
Bournemouth
Premier League · TEAM PROFILE
Ranked by cumulative goals minus xGF and conceded goals minus xGA. The labels describe gaps; they do not establish luck.
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Betis
Barcelona
La Liga · MATCH PREVIEW
A look at verified goals and pre-shot xG before the next fixture. Conversion gaps do not guarantee a rebound.
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Real Madrid
Sevilla
La Liga · MATCH PREVIEW
A look at verified goals and pre-shot xG before the next fixture. Conversion gaps do not guarantee a rebound.
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Santander
La Liga · TEAM PROFILE
Ranked by cumulative goals minus xGF and conceded goals minus xGA. The labels describe gaps; they do not establish luck.
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Juventus
Lazio
Serie A · MATCH PREVIEW
A look at verified goals and pre-shot xG before the next fixture. Conversion gaps do not guarantee a rebound.
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Frosinone
Sassuolo
Serie A · MATCH PREVIEW
A look at verified goals and pre-shot xG before the next fixture. Conversion gaps do not guarantee a rebound.
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Udinese
Monza
Serie A · TEAM PROFILE
Ranked by cumulative goals minus xGF and conceded goals minus xGA. The labels describe gaps; they do not establish luck.
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Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
Bundesliga · MATCH PREVIEW
A look at verified goals and pre-shot xG before the next fixture. Conversion gaps do not guarantee a rebound.
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Elversberg
Augsburg
Bundesliga · MATCH PREVIEW
A look at verified goals and pre-shot xG before the next fixture. Conversion gaps do not guarantee a rebound.
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Werder Bremen
Hamburg
Bundesliga · TEAM PROFILE
Ranked by cumulative goals minus xGF and conceded goals minus xGA. The labels describe gaps; they do not establish luck.
Read the analysisINTERNATIONAL · POST-MATCH ANALYSIS
Italy, the Netherlands, Germany and Croatia: selection changes and performance beyond the results. A review through 4 October.
Read the analysisAUTOMATED WEEKLY EDITION · 2026-10-13
BEYOND THE SCORELINE
Comparing chance quality, shot execution and goals across seasons. Our next line of player research.
Separating chances allowed from saves made, using pre-shot and post-shot expectations.
Following entry prices, closing prices and settled returns to judge decisions over time.
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