La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
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Our AI model predicts Alaves to win, giving Alaves a
57.9% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 57.2% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Alaves 57.9%Draw 24.3%Elche 17.9%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.96 – 1.02
Over 2.5 goals
57.2%
Under 2.5 goals
42.8%
Team rating (Elo)
1476 vs 1357
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Alaves vs Elche?
Our AI model favours Alaves to win — Alaves 57.9%, draw 24.3%, Elche 17.9%. Alaves is the model's pick at 57.9%.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Elche?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Alaves 2, Elche 1).
Will Alaves vs Elche have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 57.2% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42.8% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.