Our AI model predicts Barcelona to win, giving Barcelona a
57.0% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 56.5% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Alaves 20.8%Draw 22.3%Barcelona 57.0%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.05 – 1.89
Over 2.5 goals
56.5%
Under 2.5 goals
43.5%
Team rating (Elo)
1412 vs 1699
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Alaves vs Barcelona?
Our AI model favours Barcelona to win — Alaves 20.8%, draw 22.3%, Barcelona 57.0%. Barcelona is the model's pick at 57.0%.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Barcelona?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Alaves 1, Barcelona 2).
Will Alaves vs Barcelona have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 56.5% chance of over 2.5 goals and 43.5% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.