Alaves vs Ath Madrid Prediction & Model Analysis

La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Ath Madrid to win, giving Ath Madrid a 42.3% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1, with a 49.2% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Win probability

Alaves 31.7% Draw 25.9% Ath Madrid 42.3%

Model breakdown

MetricValue
Predicted score1–1
Expected goals (xG)1.21 – 1.44
Over 2.5 goals49.2%
Under 2.5 goals50.8%
Team rating (Elo)1412 vs 1554

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Alaves vs Ath Madrid?
Our AI model favours Ath Madrid to win — Alaves 31.7%, draw 25.9%, Ath Madrid 42.3%. Ath Madrid is the model's pick at 42.3%.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Ath Madrid?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Alaves 1, Ath Madrid 1).
Will Alaves vs Ath Madrid have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 49.2% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50.8% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
▶ See the full live model & track record at Soccer Predictor

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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.