Verifiable · logged before kickoff, scored on real results · updated July 09, 2026
The Soccer Predictor model is trained on ~49,400 matches (about
59.8% backtested winner accuracy). Below is its live, verifiable
performance across the 2026 World Cup — every prediction logged before kickoff and scored against
the actual result. No cherry-picking.
2026 World Cup — live results (96 matches)
60.4%
Winner accuracy (overall)
66.7%
Winner accuracy (knockouts)
7/8
Round of 16 winners
96
Matches predicted
Phase
Winner accuracy
Group stage
58.3% (42/72)
Knockout rounds
66.7% (16/24)
Round of 16
87.5% (7/8)
Overall
60.4% (58/96)
The honest part: the model's edge is in picking winners, not covering spreads.
Its Asian-handicap hit rate is about 49.0% (96 bets) — roughly a
coin flip. We publish this instead of hiding it. Its most valuable trait is knowing when the betting
market is right and staying out — not just when it's wrong.
Frequently asked questions
How accurate is the Soccer Predictor model?
Across 96 World Cup 2026 matches the model called the winner correctly 60.4% of the time — rising to 66.7% in the knockout rounds and 7 of 8 in the Round of 16. Its underlying model is trained on ~49,400 matches with about 59.8% backtested winner accuracy.
Is the track record verifiable?
Yes. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and scored against the actual result, published openly at soccerpredictor26.com — not a cherry-picked highlight reel.
What about the Asian handicap / spread?
Honestly, the model's edge is in picking winners, not covering spreads: its Asian-handicap hit rate is about 49.0% (96 bets) — roughly a coin flip. We publish this rather than hide it.