Our AI model predicts Alaves to win, giving Alaves a
40.6% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1,
with a 47.5% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Alaves 40.6%Draw 26.5%Ath Bilbao 33.0%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.37 – 1.21
Over 2.5 goals
47.5%
Under 2.5 goals
52.5%
Team rating (Elo)
1412 vs 1445
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Alaves vs Ath Bilbao?
Our AI model favours Alaves to win — Alaves 40.6%, draw 26.5%, Ath Bilbao 33.0%. Alaves is the model's pick at 40.6%.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Ath Bilbao?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Alaves 1, Ath Bilbao 1).
Will Alaves vs Ath Bilbao have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 47.5% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52.5% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.