Alaves vs Ath Bilbao Prediction & Model Analysis

La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
Our AI model predicts Ath Bilbao to win, giving Ath Bilbao a 35.9% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1, with a 47.7% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Win probability

Alaves 34.3% Draw 29.8% Ath Bilbao 35.9%

Model breakdown

MetricValue
Predicted score1–1
Expected goals (xG)1.27 – 1.31
Over 2.5 goals47.7%
Under 2.5 goals52.3%
Team rating (Elo)1476 vs 1568

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Alaves vs Ath Bilbao?
Our AI model favours Ath Bilbao to win — Alaves 34.3%, draw 29.8%, Ath Bilbao 35.9%. Ath Bilbao is the model's pick at 35.9%.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Ath Bilbao?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Alaves 1, Ath Bilbao 1).
Will Alaves vs Ath Bilbao have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 47.7% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52.3% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
▶ See the full live model & track record at Soccer Predictor

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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.