Alaves vs Valencia Prediction & Model Analysis
La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
Our AI model predicts Alaves to win, giving Alaves a
51.6% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 50.9% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Model breakdown
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Predicted score | 2–1 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.69 – 1.02 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49.1% |
| Team rating (Elo) | 1476 vs 1435 |
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Alaves vs Valencia?
- Our AI model favours Alaves to win — Alaves 51.6%, draw 27.1%, Valencia 21.3%. Alaves is the model's pick at 51.6%.
- What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Valencia?
- The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Alaves 2, Valencia 1).
- Will Alaves vs Valencia have over 2.5 goals?
- The model estimates a 50.9% chance of over 2.5 goals and 49.1% under.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.