Our AI model predicts Alaves to win, giving Alaves a
43.2% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1,
with a 48.7% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Alaves 43.2%Draw 26.0%Valencia 30.8%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.44 – 1.18
Over 2.5 goals
48.7%
Under 2.5 goals
51.3%
Team rating (Elo)
1412 vs 1456
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Alaves vs Valencia?
Our AI model favours Alaves to win — Alaves 43.2%, draw 26.0%, Valencia 30.8%. Alaves is the model's pick at 43.2%.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Valencia?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Alaves 1, Valencia 1).
Will Alaves vs Valencia have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 48.7% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51.3% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.