Our AI model predicts Alaves to win, giving Alaves a
44.6% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1,
with a 49.3% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Alaves 44.6%Draw 25.7%Sociedad 29.7%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.48 – 1.16
Over 2.5 goals
49.3%
Under 2.5 goals
50.7%
Team rating (Elo)
1412 vs 1427
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Alaves vs Sociedad?
Our AI model favours Alaves to win — Alaves 44.6%, draw 25.7%, Sociedad 29.7%. Alaves is the model's pick at 44.6%.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Sociedad?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Alaves 1, Sociedad 1).
Will Alaves vs Sociedad have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 49.3% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50.7% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.