Alaves vs Sevilla Prediction & Model Analysis

La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated August 2026
Our AI model predicts Alaves to win, giving Alaves a 47.5% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1, with a 48.7% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Win probability

Alaves 47.5% Draw 25.5% Sevilla 27.0%

Model breakdown

MetricValue
Predicted score2–1
Expected goals (xG)1.53 – 1.09
Over 2.5 goals48.7%
Under 2.5 goals51.3%
Team rating (Elo)1422 vs 1416

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Alaves vs Sevilla?
Our AI model favours Alaves to win — Alaves 47.5%, draw 25.5%, Sevilla 27.0%. Alaves is the model's pick at 47.5%.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Sevilla?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Alaves 2, Sevilla 1).
Will Alaves vs Sevilla have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 48.7% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51.3% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
▶ See the full live model & track record at Soccer Predictor

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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.