Our AI model predicts Real Madrid to win, giving Real Madrid a
51.9% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 52.8% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Alaves 24.1%Draw 24.0%Real Madrid 51.9%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.08 – 1.7
Over 2.5 goals
52.8%
Under 2.5 goals
47.2%
Team rating (Elo)
1412 vs 1665
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Alaves vs Real Madrid?
Our AI model favours Real Madrid to win — Alaves 24.1%, draw 24.0%, Real Madrid 51.9%. Real Madrid is the model's pick at 51.9%.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Real Madrid?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Alaves 1, Real Madrid 2).
Will Alaves vs Real Madrid have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 52.8% chance of over 2.5 goals and 47.2% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.