Arsenal vs Tottenham Prediction & Model Analysis

Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated August 2026
Our AI model predicts Arsenal to win, giving Arsenal a 70.9% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1, with a 63.1% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Win probability

Arsenal 70.9% Draw 17.1% Tottenham 11.9%

Model breakdown

MetricValue
Predicted score2–1
Expected goals (xG)2.38 – 0.87
Over 2.5 goals63.1%
Under 2.5 goals36.9%
Team rating (Elo)1671 vs 1389

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Arsenal vs Tottenham?
Our AI model favours Arsenal to win — Arsenal 70.9%, draw 17.1%, Tottenham 11.9%. Arsenal is the model's pick at 70.9%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Tottenham?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Arsenal 2, Tottenham 1).
Will Arsenal vs Tottenham have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 63.1% chance of over 2.5 goals and 36.9% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
▶ See the full live model & track record at Soccer Predictor

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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.