Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Arsenal to win, giving Arsenal a
62.1% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 58.9% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Arsenal 62.1%Draw 20.6%Brighton 17.4%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
2.06 – 0.99
Over 2.5 goals
58.9%
Under 2.5 goals
41.1%
Team rating (Elo)
1666 vs 1489
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Arsenal vs Brighton?
Our AI model favours Arsenal to win — Arsenal 62.1%, draw 20.6%, Brighton 17.4%. Arsenal is the model's pick at 62.1%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Brighton?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Arsenal 2, Brighton 1).
Will Arsenal vs Brighton have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 58.9% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41.1% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.