Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
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Our AI model predicts Arsenal to win, giving Arsenal a
72.0% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 60.6% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Arsenal 72.0%Draw 18.7%Everton 9.3%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
2.37 – 0.77
Over 2.5 goals
60.6%
Under 2.5 goals
39.4%
Team rating (Elo)
1750 vs 1443
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Arsenal vs Everton?
Our AI model favours Arsenal to win — Arsenal 72.0%, draw 18.7%, Everton 9.3%. Arsenal is the model's pick at 72.0%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Everton?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Arsenal 2, Everton 1).
Will Arsenal vs Everton have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 60.6% chance of over 2.5 goals and 39.4% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.