Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Arsenal to win, giving Arsenal a
63.1% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 60.2% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Arsenal 63.1%Draw 20.1%Brentford 16.8%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
2.12 – 0.99
Over 2.5 goals
60.2%
Under 2.5 goals
39.8%
Team rating (Elo)
1666 vs 1481
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Arsenal vs Brentford?
Our AI model favours Arsenal to win — Arsenal 63.1%, draw 20.1%, Brentford 16.8%. Arsenal is the model's pick at 63.1%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Brentford?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Arsenal 2, Brentford 1).
Will Arsenal vs Brentford have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 60.2% chance of over 2.5 goals and 39.8% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.