Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Model Analysis

Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated August 2026
Our AI model predicts Arsenal to win, giving Arsenal a 66.6% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1, with a 60.4% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Win probability

Arsenal 66.6% Draw 19.0% Crystal Palace 14.4%

Model breakdown

MetricValue
Predicted score2–1
Expected goals (xG)2.21 – 0.92
Over 2.5 goals60.4%
Under 2.5 goals39.6%
Team rating (Elo)1671 vs 1436

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Arsenal vs Crystal Palace?
Our AI model favours Arsenal to win — Arsenal 66.6%, draw 19.0%, Crystal Palace 14.4%. Arsenal is the model's pick at 66.6%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Crystal Palace?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Arsenal 2, Crystal Palace 1).
Will Arsenal vs Crystal Palace have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 60.4% chance of over 2.5 goals and 39.6% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
▶ See the full live model & track record at Soccer Predictor

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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.