Arsenal vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
Our AI model predicts Arsenal to win, giving Arsenal a
74.0% probability. Most likely scoreline: 3–1,
with a 66.7% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Model breakdown
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Predicted score | 3–1 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 2.59 – 0.84 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33.3% |
| Team rating (Elo) | 1750 vs 1471 |
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Arsenal vs Crystal Palace?
- Our AI model favours Arsenal to win — Arsenal 74.0%, draw 17.0%, Crystal Palace 9.0%. Arsenal is the model's pick at 74.0%.
- What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Crystal Palace?
- The model's most likely scoreline is 3–1 (Arsenal 3, Crystal Palace 1).
- Will Arsenal vs Crystal Palace have over 2.5 goals?
- The model estimates a 66.7% chance of over 2.5 goals and 33.3% under.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.