Sunderland vs Newcastle Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated August 2026
Our AI model predicts Sunderland to win, giving Sunderland a
38.4% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1,
with a 54.2% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Model breakdown
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Predicted score | 1–1 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.45 – 1.41 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45.8% |
| Team rating (Elo) | 1456 vs 1476 |
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Sunderland vs Newcastle?
- Our AI model favours Sunderland to win — Sunderland 38.4%, draw 25.0%, Newcastle 36.6%. Sunderland is the model's pick at 38.4%.
- What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Newcastle?
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Sunderland 1, Newcastle 1).
- Will Sunderland vs Newcastle have over 2.5 goals?
- The model estimates a 54.2% chance of over 2.5 goals and 45.8% under.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.