Sunderland vs Newcastle Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
Our AI model predicts Newcastle to win, giving Newcastle a
38.6% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 57.7% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Model breakdown
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Predicted score | 1–2 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.45 – 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42.3% |
| Team rating (Elo) | 1426 vs 1494 |
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Sunderland vs Newcastle?
- Our AI model favours Newcastle to win — Sunderland 34.2%, draw 27.2%, Newcastle 38.6%. Newcastle is the model's pick at 38.6%.
- What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Newcastle?
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Sunderland 1, Newcastle 2).
- Will Sunderland vs Newcastle have over 2.5 goals?
- The model estimates a 57.7% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42.3% under.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.