Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Sunderland to win, giving Sunderland a
37.7% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1,
with a 54.9% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Sunderland 37.7%Draw 24.9%Chelsea 37.4%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.44 – 1.44
Over 2.5 goals
54.9%
Under 2.5 goals
45.1%
Team rating (Elo)
1470 vs 1485
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sunderland vs Chelsea?
Our AI model favours Sunderland to win — Sunderland 37.7%, draw 24.9%, Chelsea 37.4%. Sunderland is the model's pick at 37.7%.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Chelsea?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Sunderland 1, Chelsea 1).
Will Sunderland vs Chelsea have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 54.9% chance of over 2.5 goals and 45.1% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.