Sunderland vs Aston Villa Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Aston Villa to win, giving Aston Villa a
39.5% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1,
with a 53.3% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Sunderland 35.3%Draw 25.2%Aston Villa 39.5%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.36 – 1.45
Over 2.5 goals
53.3%
Under 2.5 goals
46.7%
Team rating (Elo)
1470 vs 1542
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sunderland vs Aston Villa?
Our AI model favours Aston Villa to win — Sunderland 35.3%, draw 25.2%, Aston Villa 39.5%. Aston Villa is the model's pick at 39.5%.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Aston Villa?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Sunderland 1, Aston Villa 1).
Will Sunderland vs Aston Villa have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 53.3% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46.7% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.