Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
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Our AI model predicts Leeds to win, giving Leeds a
36.6% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1,
with a 53.1% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Sunderland 35.0%Draw 28.4%Leeds 36.6%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.38 – 1.42
Over 2.5 goals
53.1%
Under 2.5 goals
46.9%
Team rating (Elo)
1426 vs 1464
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sunderland vs Leeds?
Our AI model favours Leeds to win — Sunderland 35.0%, draw 28.4%, Leeds 36.6%. Leeds is the model's pick at 36.6%.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Leeds?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Sunderland 1, Leeds 1).
Will Sunderland vs Leeds have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 53.1% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46.9% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.