Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Sunderland to win, giving Sunderland a
44.2% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 53.6% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Sunderland 44.2%Draw 24.8%Leeds 30.9%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.56 – 1.26
Over 2.5 goals
53.6%
Under 2.5 goals
46.4%
Team rating (Elo)
1470 vs 1425
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sunderland vs Leeds?
Our AI model favours Sunderland to win — Sunderland 44.2%, draw 24.8%, Leeds 30.9%. Sunderland is the model's pick at 44.2%.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Leeds?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Sunderland 2, Leeds 1).
Will Sunderland vs Leeds have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 53.6% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46.4% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.