Newcastle vs Sunderland Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated August 2026
Our AI model predicts Newcastle to win, giving Newcastle a
48.7% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 55.2% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Model breakdown
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Predicted score | 2–1 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.69 – 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44.8% |
| Team rating (Elo) | 1476 vs 1456 |
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Newcastle vs Sunderland?
- Our AI model favours Newcastle to win — Newcastle 48.7%, draw 24.0%, Sunderland 27.2%. Newcastle is the model's pick at 48.7%.
- What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Sunderland?
- The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Newcastle 2, Sunderland 1).
- Will Newcastle vs Sunderland have over 2.5 goals?
- The model estimates a 55.2% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44.8% under.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.