Newcastle vs Man United Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Newcastle to win, giving Newcastle a
39.0% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 57.7% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Newcastle 39.0%Draw 24.3%Man United 36.7%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.53 – 1.47
Over 2.5 goals
57.7%
Under 2.5 goals
42.3%
Team rating (Elo)
1474 vs 1555
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Newcastle vs Man United?
Our AI model favours Newcastle to win — Newcastle 39.0%, draw 24.3%, Man United 36.7%. Newcastle is the model's pick at 39.0%.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Man United?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Newcastle 2, Man United 1).
Will Newcastle vs Man United have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 57.7% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42.3% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.