Newcastle vs Liverpool Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
Our AI model predicts Liverpool to win, giving Liverpool a
45.3% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 61.4% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Model breakdown
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Predicted score | 1–2 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.39 – 1.78 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38.6% |
| Team rating (Elo) | 1494 vs 1623 |
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Newcastle vs Liverpool?
- Our AI model favours Liverpool to win — Newcastle 28.9%, draw 25.8%, Liverpool 45.3%. Liverpool is the model's pick at 45.3%.
- What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Liverpool?
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Newcastle 1, Liverpool 2).
- Will Newcastle vs Liverpool have over 2.5 goals?
- The model estimates a 61.4% chance of over 2.5 goals and 38.6% under.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.