Benfica vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Model Analysis

Champions League · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
Our AI model predicts Benfica to win, giving Benfica a 45.9% probability. Most likely scoreline: 0–0, with a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Win probability

Benfica 45.9% Draw 22.2% Borussia Dortmund 31.9%

Model breakdown

MetricValue
Predicted score0–0
Expected goals (xG)1.89 – 1.55
Over 2.5 goals0%
Under 2.5 goals0%
Team rating (Elo)1707 vs 1644

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Benfica vs Borussia Dortmund?
Our AI model favours Benfica to win — Benfica 45.9%, draw 22.2%, Borussia Dortmund 31.9%. Benfica is the model's pick at 45.9%.
What is the predicted score for Benfica vs Borussia Dortmund?
The model's most likely scoreline is 0–0 (Benfica 0, Borussia Dortmund 0).
Will Benfica vs Borussia Dortmund have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 0% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
▶ See the full live model & track record at Soccer Predictor

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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.