Benfica vs Ajax Prediction & Model Analysis

Champions League · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
Our AI model predicts Benfica to win, giving Benfica a 62.8% probability. Most likely scoreline: 0–0, with a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Win probability

Benfica 62.8% Draw 18.0% Ajax 19.2%

Model breakdown

MetricValue
Predicted score0–0
Expected goals (xG)2.53 – 1.36
Over 2.5 goals0%
Under 2.5 goals0%
Team rating (Elo)1707 vs 1588

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Benfica vs Ajax?
Our AI model favours Benfica to win — Benfica 62.8%, draw 18.0%, Ajax 19.2%. Benfica is the model's pick at 62.8%.
What is the predicted score for Benfica vs Ajax?
The model's most likely scoreline is 0–0 (Benfica 0, Ajax 0).
Will Benfica vs Ajax have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 0% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
▶ See the full live model & track record at Soccer Predictor

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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.