Champions League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Ajax to win, giving Ajax a
55.0% probability. Most likely scoreline: 0–0,
with a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Ajax 55.0%Draw 21.0%Athletic Club 23.9%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
0–0
Expected goals (xG)
2.09 – 1.32
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
Team rating (Elo)
1688 vs 1607
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ajax vs Athletic Club?
Our AI model favours Ajax to win — Ajax 55.0%, draw 21.0%, Athletic Club 23.9%. Ajax is the model's pick at 55.0%.
What is the predicted score for Ajax vs Athletic Club?
The model's most likely scoreline is 0–0 (Ajax 0, Athletic Club 0).
Will Ajax vs Athletic Club have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 0% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.