Champions League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Arsenal to win, giving Arsenal a
44.1% probability. Most likely scoreline: 0–0,
with a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Ajax 33.8%Draw 22.0%Arsenal 44.1%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
0–0
Expected goals (xG)
1.64 – 1.89
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
Team rating (Elo)
1688 vs 1742
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ajax vs Arsenal?
Our AI model favours Arsenal to win — Ajax 33.8%, draw 22.0%, Arsenal 44.1%. Arsenal is the model's pick at 44.1%.
What is the predicted score for Ajax vs Arsenal?
The model's most likely scoreline is 0–0 (Ajax 0, Arsenal 0).
Will Ajax vs Arsenal have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 0% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.