La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
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Our AI model predicts Vallecano to win, giving Vallecano a
49.3% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 58.5% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Vallecano 49.3%Draw 25.9%Sociedad 24.8%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.8 – 1.23
Over 2.5 goals
58.5%
Under 2.5 goals
41.5%
Team rating (Elo)
1494 vs 1435
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Vallecano vs Sociedad?
Our AI model favours Vallecano to win — Vallecano 49.3%, draw 25.9%, Sociedad 24.8%. Vallecano is the model's pick at 49.3%.
What is the predicted score for Vallecano vs Sociedad?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Vallecano 2, Sociedad 1).
Will Vallecano vs Sociedad have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 58.5% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41.5% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.