Our AI model predicts Vallecano to win, giving Vallecano a
49.4% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 49.3% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Vallecano 49.4%Draw 25.1%Alaves 25.5%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.58 – 1.06
Over 2.5 goals
49.3%
Under 2.5 goals
50.7%
Team rating (Elo)
1466 vs 1412
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Vallecano vs Alaves?
Our AI model favours Vallecano to win — Vallecano 49.4%, draw 25.1%, Alaves 25.5%. Vallecano is the model's pick at 49.4%.
What is the predicted score for Vallecano vs Alaves?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Vallecano 2, Alaves 1).
Will Vallecano vs Alaves have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 49.3% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50.7% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.