Sociedad vs Villarreal Prediction & Model Analysis

La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Villarreal to win, giving Villarreal a 40.5% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1, with a 53.4% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Win probability

Sociedad 34.4% Draw 25.2% Villarreal 40.5%

Model breakdown

MetricValue
Predicted score1–1
Expected goals (xG)1.34 – 1.47
Over 2.5 goals53.4%
Under 2.5 goals46.6%
Team rating (Elo)1427 vs 1556

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sociedad vs Villarreal?
Our AI model favours Villarreal to win — Sociedad 34.4%, draw 25.2%, Villarreal 40.5%. Villarreal is the model's pick at 40.5%.
What is the predicted score for Sociedad vs Villarreal?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Sociedad 1, Villarreal 1).
Will Sociedad vs Villarreal have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 53.4% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46.6% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
▶ See the full live model & track record at Soccer Predictor

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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.