Sociedad vs Alaves Prediction & Model Analysis
La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
Our AI model predicts Sociedad to win, giving Sociedad a
40.2% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1,
with a 53.3% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Model breakdown
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Predicted score | 1–1 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.5 – 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46.7% |
| Team rating (Elo) | 1435 vs 1476 |
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Sociedad vs Alaves?
- Our AI model favours Sociedad to win — Sociedad 40.2%, draw 28.2%, Alaves 31.6%. Sociedad is the model's pick at 40.2%.
- What is the predicted score for Sociedad vs Alaves?
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Sociedad 1, Alaves 1).
- Will Sociedad vs Alaves have over 2.5 goals?
- The model estimates a 53.3% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46.7% under.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.