La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated August 2026
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Our AI model predicts Sociedad to win, giving Sociedad a
43.3% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1,
with a 49.5% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Sociedad 43.3%Draw 25.8%Vallecano 30.8%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.46 – 1.19
Over 2.5 goals
49.5%
Under 2.5 goals
50.5%
Team rating (Elo)
1420 vs 1454
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sociedad vs Vallecano?
Our AI model favours Sociedad to win — Sociedad 43.3%, draw 25.8%, Vallecano 30.8%. Sociedad is the model's pick at 43.3%.
What is the predicted score for Sociedad vs Vallecano?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Sociedad 1, Vallecano 1).
Will Sociedad vs Vallecano have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 49.5% chance of over 2.5 goals and 50.5% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.