Tottenham vs Newcastle Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Newcastle to win, giving Newcastle a
39.5% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 58.2% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Tottenham 36.3%Draw 24.2%Newcastle 39.5%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.48 – 1.55
Over 2.5 goals
58.2%
Under 2.5 goals
41.8%
Team rating (Elo)
1397 vs 1474
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tottenham vs Newcastle?
Our AI model favours Newcastle to win — Tottenham 36.3%, draw 24.2%, Newcastle 39.5%. Newcastle is the model's pick at 39.5%.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham vs Newcastle?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Tottenham 1, Newcastle 2).
Will Tottenham vs Newcastle have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 58.2% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41.8% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.