Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Chelsea to win, giving Chelsea a
41.5% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–2,
with a 58.8% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Tottenham 34.5%Draw 24.0%Chelsea 41.5%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.45 – 1.61
Over 2.5 goals
58.8%
Under 2.5 goals
41.2%
Team rating (Elo)
1397 vs 1485
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tottenham vs Chelsea?
Our AI model favours Chelsea to win — Tottenham 34.5%, draw 24.0%, Chelsea 41.5%. Chelsea is the model's pick at 41.5%.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham vs Chelsea?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–2 (Tottenham 1, Chelsea 2).
Will Tottenham vs Chelsea have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 58.8% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41.2% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.