Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
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Our AI model predicts Everton to win, giving Everton a
47.1% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 52.7% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Everton 47.1%Draw 27.5%Sunderland 25.4%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.63 – 1.15
Over 2.5 goals
52.7%
Under 2.5 goals
47.3%
Team rating (Elo)
1443 vs 1426
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Everton vs Sunderland?
Our AI model favours Everton to win — Everton 47.1%, draw 27.5%, Sunderland 25.4%. Everton is the model's pick at 47.1%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Sunderland?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Everton 2, Sunderland 1).
Will Everton vs Sunderland have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 52.7% chance of over 2.5 goals and 47.3% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.