Everton vs Chelsea Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated August 2026
Our AI model predicts Everton to win, giving Everton a
37.6% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1,
with a 55.2% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Model breakdown
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Predicted score | 1–1 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.45 – 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44.8% |
| Team rating (Elo) | 1460 vs 1494 |
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Everton vs Chelsea?
- Our AI model favours Everton to win — Everton 37.6%, draw 24.8%, Chelsea 37.6%. Everton is the model's pick at 37.6%.
- What is the predicted score for Everton vs Chelsea?
- The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Everton 1, Chelsea 1).
- Will Everton vs Chelsea have over 2.5 goals?
- The model estimates a 55.2% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44.8% under.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
More Premier League predictions
Everton vs ArsenalEverton vs Aston VillaEverton vs BournemouthEverton vs BrentfordEverton vs BrightonEverton vs CoventryEverton vs Crystal PalaceEverton vs Fulham
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.