Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
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Our AI model predicts Crystal Palace to win, giving Crystal Palace a
40.0% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–2,
with a 63.3% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Crystal Palace 40.0%Draw 25.8%Newcastle 34.3%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.7 – 1.56
Over 2.5 goals
63.3%
Under 2.5 goals
36.7%
Team rating (Elo)
1471 vs 1494
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
Our AI model favours Crystal Palace to win — Crystal Palace 40.0%, draw 25.8%, Newcastle 34.3%. Crystal Palace is the model's pick at 40.0%.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Newcastle?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–2 (Crystal Palace 2, Newcastle 2).
Will Crystal Palace vs Newcastle have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 63.3% chance of over 2.5 goals and 36.7% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.