Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Aston Villa to win, giving Aston Villa a
38.8% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1,
with a 56.5% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Crystal Palace 36.7%Draw 24.5%Aston Villa 38.8%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.45 – 1.5
Over 2.5 goals
56.5%
Under 2.5 goals
43.5%
Team rating (Elo)
1446 vs 1542
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa?
Our AI model favours Aston Villa to win — Crystal Palace 36.7%, draw 24.5%, Aston Villa 38.8%. Aston Villa is the model's pick at 38.8%.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Crystal Palace 1, Aston Villa 1).
Will Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 56.5% chance of over 2.5 goals and 43.5% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.