Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
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Our AI model predicts Chelsea to win, giving Chelsea a
52.4% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 63.7% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Chelsea 52.4%Draw 24.2%Tottenham 23.4%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.99 – 1.29
Over 2.5 goals
63.7%
Under 2.5 goals
36.3%
Team rating (Elo)
1504 vs 1469
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Chelsea vs Tottenham?
Our AI model favours Chelsea to win — Chelsea 52.4%, draw 24.2%, Tottenham 23.4%. Chelsea is the model's pick at 52.4%.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Tottenham?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Chelsea 2, Tottenham 1).
Will Chelsea vs Tottenham have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 63.7% chance of over 2.5 goals and 36.3% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.