Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Chelsea to win, giving Chelsea a
50.0% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 56.4% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Chelsea 50.0%Draw 23.6%Everton 26.4%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.74 – 1.2
Over 2.5 goals
56.4%
Under 2.5 goals
43.6%
Team rating (Elo)
1485 vs 1450
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Chelsea vs Everton?
Our AI model favours Chelsea to win — Chelsea 50.0%, draw 23.6%, Everton 26.4%. Chelsea is the model's pick at 50.0%.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Everton?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Chelsea 2, Everton 1).
Will Chelsea vs Everton have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 56.4% chance of over 2.5 goals and 43.6% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.