Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Liverpool to win, giving Liverpool a
39.2% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–2,
with a 59.4% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Chelsea 36.9%Draw 23.9%Liverpool 39.2%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–2
Expected goals (xG)
1.51 – 1.56
Over 2.5 goals
59.4%
Under 2.5 goals
40.6%
Team rating (Elo)
1485 vs 1556
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Chelsea vs Liverpool?
Our AI model favours Liverpool to win — Chelsea 36.9%, draw 23.9%, Liverpool 39.2%. Liverpool is the model's pick at 39.2%.
What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Liverpool?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–2 (Chelsea 2, Liverpool 2).
Will Chelsea vs Liverpool have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 59.4% chance of over 2.5 goals and 40.6% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.