Bournemouth vs Chelsea Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Bournemouth to win, giving Bournemouth a
46.5% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 59.1% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Bournemouth 46.5%Draw 23.6%Chelsea 30.0%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.72 – 1.34
Over 2.5 goals
59.1%
Under 2.5 goals
40.9%
Team rating (Elo)
1524 vs 1485
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bournemouth vs Chelsea?
Our AI model favours Bournemouth to win — Bournemouth 46.5%, draw 23.6%, Chelsea 30.0%. Bournemouth is the model's pick at 46.5%.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Chelsea?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Bournemouth 2, Chelsea 1).
Will Bournemouth vs Chelsea have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 59.1% chance of over 2.5 goals and 40.9% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.