Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction & Model Analysis
Premier League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Bournemouth to win, giving Bournemouth a
44.0% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 57.4% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Bournemouth 44.0%Draw 24.1%Aston Villa 31.8%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.63 – 1.35
Over 2.5 goals
57.4%
Under 2.5 goals
42.6%
Team rating (Elo)
1524 vs 1542
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
Our AI model favours Bournemouth to win — Bournemouth 44.0%, draw 24.1%, Aston Villa 31.8%. Bournemouth is the model's pick at 44.0%.
What is the predicted score for Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Bournemouth 2, Aston Villa 1).
Will Bournemouth vs Aston Villa have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 57.4% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42.6% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.