Champions League · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Arsenal to win, giving Arsenal a
54.6% probability. Most likely scoreline: 0–0,
with a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Arsenal 54.6%Draw 20.5%Ajax 24.8%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
0–0
Expected goals (xG)
2.17 – 1.42
Over 2.5 goals
0%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
Team rating (Elo)
1742 vs 1688
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Arsenal vs Ajax?
Our AI model favours Arsenal to win — Arsenal 54.6%, draw 20.5%, Ajax 24.8%. Arsenal is the model's pick at 54.6%.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal vs Ajax?
The model's most likely scoreline is 0–0 (Arsenal 0, Ajax 0).
Will Arsenal vs Ajax have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 0% chance of over 2.5 goals and 0% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.