Our AI model predicts Villarreal to win, giving Villarreal a
59.9% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 55.8% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Villarreal 59.9%Draw 21.7%Alaves 18.4%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.94 – 0.98
Over 2.5 goals
55.8%
Under 2.5 goals
44.2%
Team rating (Elo)
1556 vs 1412
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Villarreal vs Alaves?
Our AI model favours Villarreal to win — Villarreal 59.9%, draw 21.7%, Alaves 18.4%. Villarreal is the model's pick at 59.9%.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Alaves?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Villarreal 2, Alaves 1).
Will Villarreal vs Alaves have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 55.8% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44.2% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.