Villarreal vs Alaves Prediction & Model Analysis
La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated August 2026
Our AI model predicts Villarreal to win, giving Villarreal a
59.1% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 55.5% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Model breakdown
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Predicted score | 2–1 |
| Expected goals (xG) | 1.92 – 0.99 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44.5% |
| Team rating (Elo) | 1552 vs 1422 |
Frequently asked questions
- Who will win Villarreal vs Alaves?
- Our AI model favours Villarreal to win — Villarreal 59.1%, draw 21.9%, Alaves 19.0%. Villarreal is the model's pick at 59.1%.
- What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Alaves?
- The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Villarreal 2, Alaves 1).
- Will Villarreal vs Alaves have over 2.5 goals?
- The model estimates a 55.5% chance of over 2.5 goals and 44.5% under.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.