La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
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Our AI model predicts Valencia to win, giving Valencia a
36.9% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1,
with a 48.8% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Valencia 36.9%Draw 29.5%Alaves 33.7%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.35 – 1.28
Over 2.5 goals
48.8%
Under 2.5 goals
51.2%
Team rating (Elo)
1435 vs 1476
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Valencia vs Alaves?
Our AI model favours Valencia to win — Valencia 36.9%, draw 29.5%, Alaves 33.7%. Valencia is the model's pick at 36.9%.
What is the predicted score for Valencia vs Alaves?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Valencia 1, Alaves 1).
Will Valencia vs Alaves have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 48.8% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51.2% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.