Sevilla vs Alaves Prediction & Model Analysis

La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated August 2026
Our AI model predicts Sevilla to win, giving Sevilla a 43.5% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1, with a 48.1% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Win probability

Sevilla 43.5% Draw 26.1% Alaves 30.4%

Model breakdown

MetricValue
Predicted score1–1
Expected goals (xG)1.44 – 1.16
Over 2.5 goals48.1%
Under 2.5 goals51.9%
Team rating (Elo)1416 vs 1422

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sevilla vs Alaves?
Our AI model favours Sevilla to win — Sevilla 43.5%, draw 26.1%, Alaves 30.4%. Sevilla is the model's pick at 43.5%.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla vs Alaves?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Sevilla 1, Alaves 1).
Will Sevilla vs Alaves have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 48.1% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51.9% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
▶ See the full live model & track record at Soccer Predictor

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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.