Santander vs Alaves Prediction & Model Analysis

La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated July 2026
Our AI model predicts Santander to win, giving Santander a 48.1% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1, with a 48.6% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Win probability

Santander 48.1% Draw 25.5% Alaves 26.5%

Model breakdown

MetricValue
Predicted score2–1
Expected goals (xG)1.54 – 1.07
Over 2.5 goals48.6%
Under 2.5 goals51.4%
Team rating (Elo)1439 vs 1412

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Santander vs Alaves?
Our AI model favours Santander to win — Santander 48.1%, draw 25.5%, Alaves 26.5%. Santander is the model's pick at 48.1%.
What is the predicted score for Santander vs Alaves?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Santander 2, Alaves 1).
Will Santander vs Alaves have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 48.6% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51.4% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
▶ See the full live model & track record at Soccer Predictor

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Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.