Our AI model predicts Real Madrid to win, giving Real Madrid a
69.8% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 59.3% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Real Madrid 69.8%Draw 18.0%Alaves 12.1%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
2.25 – 0.82
Over 2.5 goals
59.3%
Under 2.5 goals
40.7%
Team rating (Elo)
1665 vs 1412
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Real Madrid vs Alaves?
Our AI model favours Real Madrid to win — Real Madrid 69.8%, draw 18.0%, Alaves 12.1%. Real Madrid is the model's pick at 69.8%.
What is the predicted score for Real Madrid vs Alaves?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Real Madrid 2, Alaves 1).
Will Real Madrid vs Alaves have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 59.3% chance of over 2.5 goals and 40.7% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment, not betting advice. Model accuracy is published transparently on the main site.