La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated October 2026
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Our AI model predicts Alaves to win, giving Alaves a
37.2% probability. Most likely scoreline: 1–1,
with a 46.3% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Malaga 32.7%Draw 30.1%Alaves 37.2%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
1–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.22 – 1.31
Over 2.5 goals
46.3%
Under 2.5 goals
53.7%
Team rating (Elo)
1379 vs 1476
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Malaga vs Alaves?
Our AI model favours Alaves to win — Malaga 32.7%, draw 30.1%, Alaves 37.2%. Alaves is the model's pick at 37.2%.
What is the predicted score for Malaga vs Alaves?
The model's most likely scoreline is 1–1 (Malaga 1, Alaves 1).
Will Malaga vs Alaves have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 46.3% chance of over 2.5 goals and 53.7% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.