La Liga · AI model prediction · Updated August 2026
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Our AI model predicts Malaga to win, giving Malaga a
46.5% probability. Most likely scoreline: 2–1,
with a 48.3% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Win probability
Malaga 46.5%Draw 25.7%Alaves 27.8%
Model breakdown
Metric
Value
Predicted score
2–1
Expected goals (xG)
1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.5 goals
48.3%
Under 2.5 goals
51.7%
Team rating (Elo)
1424 vs 1422
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Malaga vs Alaves?
Our AI model favours Malaga to win — Malaga 46.5%, draw 25.7%, Alaves 27.8%. Malaga is the model's pick at 46.5%.
What is the predicted score for Malaga vs Alaves?
The model's most likely scoreline is 2–1 (Malaga 2, Alaves 1).
Will Malaga vs Alaves have over 2.5 goals?
The model estimates a 48.3% chance of over 2.5 goals and 51.7% under.
How reliable is this prediction?
It is a statistical model trained on tens of thousands of matches, with its full accuracy track record published transparently on soccerpredictor.fly.dev.
Predictions are model-generated statistical estimates for analysis and entertainment only — not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Any decision made using this information is at your own risk. 18+. See our Terms.